Weekly election polls run by Ipsos and eNCA show that the Democratic Alliance is in the lead across the three most hotly-contested metros ahead of the 2016 municipal elections.
The polls surveyed a demographically representative group of people made up of adults across all racial groups (majority black – 74%) between the ages of 18 and over 50, from low to middle income households.
In the first week poll, the results showed that the DA would win two of the three most hotly-contested metros – Nelson Mandela Bay and Tshwane, with Johannesburg still under the control of the ANC.
Now in week 5, the poll results show the DA taking the lead across all three metros, with support growing for the party the most in Nelson Mandela Bay.
Following protests in Tshwane in late June, support for the DA in the region swelled, while the ANC’s support base declined. In the latest results, this trend has reversed, with the ANC seeing a recovery, and the DA seeing a dip. The latter party is still seen ahead, however.
Across all metros, there is still a high rate of voters who are undecided (around 16%) which could easily sway the vote in favour of either party. However, in Nelson Mandela Bay, even if all ‘undecided’ voters were for the ANC, the DA would still lead in the metro.
The latest poll results show:
- DA: 39.03%
- ANC: 26.06%
- EFF: 11.96%
- Undecided: 16.35%
- DA: 35.76%
- ANC: 30.87%
- EFF: 9.74%
- Undecided: 15.5%
Nelson Mandela Bay
- DA: 41.75%
- ANC: 21.16%
- EFF: 9.6%
- Undecided: 16.27%
The poll updates every Thursday, with three more results to be published before the elections take place on 3 August 2016.